Bets for the week...

I have been on fire this football season and I have no intention of letting up.  I am up $1,800 this last week and am very confident about my selections going into this weekend.  My bookie Tommy Knuckles is up A LOT of monopoly dollars due to some Wall Street hot shots who like to make four figure wagers going 2-18 this past weekend.  Time to get some of that Wall Street money my way. Lets get to the picks:

Duke +3 over Georgia Tech, risking $110 to win $100: Duke (4-1) just had a bye week coming off a tough loss to Miami.  Georgia Tech meanwhile is coming off a big home win against those same Miami Hurricanes.  GT is 5-0 and their triple option offense appears to be clicking. Playing at home against Duke, this should be a lock for the Yellow Jackets right? Not quite.  Duke has has two weeks to prepare for this Georgia Tech offense.  David Cutcliffe is one of the most underrated coaches in the country and will have the Blue Devils ready.  Georgia Tech while undefeated has shown themselves to be vulnerable beating Georgia Southern by only 4 points and at times struggling against a bad Tulane side.  I like Duke straight up.  

BYU vs UCF Under 47 points, Risking $220 to win $200:  UCF has a pathetic offense.

Taysom Hill recovering from surgery

It is becoming more apparent by the week that UCF will be carried by their defense this campaign.  BYU lost their darkhorse heisman candidate quarterback in Taysom Hill last week adding injury to insult
as they lost to in state rival Utah State bursting their playoff aspirations.  They are also nursing major injuries on both sides of the ball.  BYU has a bad secondary but I do not believe UCF's anemic offense will be able to expose Cougars weaknesses.  The line has moved down to 44.5 as sharp money pounded that line down from the 47 points I got originally.  While 2.5 points is significant, I think there is still value in that low line of 44.5 total points.

The USF bandwagon is empty

East Carolina -14.5 over USF, risking $220 to win $200:  USF is a bad team.  There is no way around it.  That stadium will be empty and USF will have no home field advantage.  I like the Pirates big breaking the hearts of the hundreds of USF fans that actually show up to the game.  While EZU struggled on defense last week, they will step up this weekend against the 117th ranked passing and 95th ranked rushing offense.  USF makes UCF' offense look like the New Orleans Saints.  While our directionally challenged neighbors from Tampa have a good defense, I have a hard time believing they will contain this high flying Pirate offense for four quarters.  Take EZU to win big.

Memphis -7 over Houston, Risking $240 to win $200:  Memphis is the surprise team of the AAC.  With a fairly easy conference schedule, Memphis might actually be the favorites to win the conference title this season. Their biggest obstacle lies in the Houston Cougars who lost in pathetic form to UCF last week.  The Cougars lost their #2 Wide Receiver Daniel Spencer to an ACL tear this week and will be starting Freshman Quarterback Greg Ward Jr over struggling John O'Korn.  The wheels are falling off for a Houston side that had high expectations going into this season.  These are two teams trending in opposite directions.  The line is now at 8.5.  I still find value in this line.  Memphis wins big.

Texas A&M -3 over Ole Miss, Risking $200 to win $200

Four team teaser: 
Duke +16 over Duke
LSU vs Florida under 60 points
EZU -2 over USF
Steelers +15 over the Cleveland Browns
Risking $500 to win $417